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Conference: The state of the Stalnaker-Lewis semantics for conditionals

Time and place:  Sep 25, 2009 10:00 AM - Sep 26, 2009 06:00 PM"Rådsalen" at the administration building, Oslo

Online registration

Speakers

  • Dorothy Edgington, Birkbeck, London
  • David Etlin, Leuven
  • Atle Grønn, Oslo
  • Lars Bo Gundersen, Aarhus
  • Janneke Huitink, Frankfurt
  • Michael Morreau, Maryland
  • Arnim von Stechow, Tübingen
  • Lee Walters, University College, London
  • Nicholas Allott, CSMN, Oslo


Programme
(A downloadable pdf version, with abstracts. )

Friday 25th September, 2009

10:00
Welcome

10:15 - 11:45
Dorothy Edgington: The Difference Between Indicative and Subjunctive Conditionals

Lunch
(We are having a long lunch to allow those who wish to attend Jerry Fodor's talk on evolution from 12.15 - 2.00.)

2:30 - 3:30
Lars Bo Gundersen: Bye Bye Modus Ponens

3:45 - 4:45
David Etlin: Conditionals, Modals, and Supposition

5:15 - 6:15
Nicholas Allott: Context and Subjunctive Conditionals


Saturday 26th September, 2009

10:30 - 12:00
Michael Morreau: Absurd Tradeoffs in the Evaluation of Counterfactuals

12:30 - 1:30
Lee Walters: Prospects for a Possible-World Semantics for Indicative Conditionals

Lunch

2:45 - 3:45
Janneke Huitink: Domain Restriction by Conditional Connectives

4:15 - 5:45
Arnim von Stechow (with Atle Grønn): Temporal Organization of Subjunctive Conditionals


Theme of conference


The Stalnaker-Lewis possible worlds semantics for conditionals (S-L), proposed by Stalnaker (1968, 1975) for ‘indicative’ and ‘subjunctive’ conditionals and, with some modifications, by Lewis (1973) for subjunctives, has become and remained the standard account of conditionals in philosophy and linguistics. The truth conditions (on Lewis’ variant) are roughly: a subjunctive conditional If A, C is true iff C is true at all closest A-worlds.

There are a number of open questions about the theory. The standard version of the S-L theory in linguistics is due to Kratzer (1981, 1991) generalising suggestions from Lewis 1975. On this account, motivated by the interpretation of if-clauses under quantifiers, ‘if’ is not a genuine connective: rather, if-clauses restrict the domain of an operator, either covert or overt, and ‘if’ is semantically vacuous. There have been some attempts to rehabilitate a conditional connective account: e.g. Huitink 2008 proposes a truth-value gap semantics which is more straightforwardly compositional than the Lewis-Kratzer semantics.

Recently there has been debate in philosophy over whether the S-L theory can deal adequately with ‘chancy’ worlds (Hawthorne 2005; Williams 2008). In such worlds, which may include our own, If I drop this plate it will fall to the ground is not (strictly) true because (e.g.) there is a small chance that random movements of air molecules will deflect it. The problem, essentially, is that it seems too easy for conditionals to be false on Lewis’ truth conditions (undefined on Stalnaker’s).

One issue that is still very much open (and on which Stalnaker and Lewis differed) is whether a unified account can be given of indicative and subjunctive conditionals. Intuitions pull in two directions: If you had washed the car by noon you would have earned 100 kroner seems to report the same thought after 12 o'clock as the following reported before that time: If you wash the car by noon you earn 100 kroner. On the other hand, similar indicatives and subjunctives can have different truth-values, e.g.:

If Oswald didn’t shoot Kennedy, someone else did.
If Oswald hadn’t shot Kennedy, someone else would have.

Edgington, 2008, proposes extending the influential non-truth-conditional account of indicatives (developed by Adams 1975, Edgington 1995 inter alia) to subjunctives.


References

Adams, E. W. (1975). The Logic of Conditionals: An Application of Probability to Deductive Logic. Dordrecht, Holland: D. Reidel Pub. Co.
Edgington, D. (1995). On conditionals. Mind, 104, pp. 235–329.
Edgington, D. (2008). Counterfactuals. Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society, 108(1), 1-21.
Hawthorne, J. (2005). Chance and counterfactuals. Philosophical and Phenomenological Research, pp. 396–405.
Huitink, J. (2008). Modals, Conditionals and Compositionality. Unpublished PhD dissertation, Radboud Universiteit Nijmegen.
Kratzer, A. (1981). The notional category of modality. In H.-J. Eickmeyer & H. Rieser (Eds.) Words, worlds and contexts: New approaches in word semantics, 38–74. Berlin: Walter de Gruyter.
Kratzer, A. (1991). Modality/conditionals. In A. von Stechow & D. Wunderlich (Eds.) Semantics: An international handbook of contemporary research, 639–656. Berlin: De Gruyter.
Lewis, D. K. (1973). Counterfactuals. Oxford: Blackwell.
Lewis, D. K. (1975). Adverbs of quantification. In E. L. Keenan (Ed.), Formal semantics of natural language: papers from a colloquium sponsored by the King's College Research Centre, Cambridge. (pp. 3–15). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Stalnaker, R. (1968). A theory of conditionals. Studies in Logical Theory: American Philosophical Quarterly Monograph Series, 2, 98–122.
Stalnaker, R. (1975). Indicative conditionals. Philosophia, 5(3), 269–286.


Practicalities


There will be a dinner for the speakers on the 25th. If you are not speaking and would like to come please contact us. We may be able to book a few extra places.

Some suggestions about where to eat and where to stay in Oslo.


Organised by
Lars Bo Gundersen, Timothy Chan & Nicholas Allott

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